Vibonese vs Gela: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Luigi Razza, Vibo Valentia
The Footlab AI model makes Vibonese the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Gela. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vibonese vs Gela?
On Elo ratings, Vibonese has 1,747 points and Gela 1,659.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vibonese vs Gela
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vibonese
Not enough data to predict the Vibonese lineup.
Gela
Not enough data to predict the Gela lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:55 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vibonese have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Gela have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Reggina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nissa(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AC Palermo(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Igea Virtus(away) | 3-4 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Milazzo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | AC Palermo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Enna(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Siracusa(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Vibonese wins, 1 draw, 1 Gela win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gela 1-1 Vibonese | Serie D - Girone I |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Vibonese 1-2 Gela | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Vibonese score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gela score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vibonese | 1.6 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Gela | 0.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vibonese sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone I (14 points from 7 matches) and Gela sit 14th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vibonese | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 14 |
| 14 | Gela | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
A question about Vibonese vs Gela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vibonese vs Gela?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vibonese the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Gela.
- Where and when is Vibonese vs Gela played?
- Vibonese vs Gela is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Luigi Razza, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.