Match

Modica vs AC Palermo: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

ModicaAC Palermo

The Footlab model makes Modica the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for AC Palermo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Modica vs AC Palermo?

Modica win41 %
Draw26 %
AC Palermo win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Modica have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; AC Palermo have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AC Palermo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Reggina(away)0-1Serie D - Girone I
May 3, 2026Ragusa(away)2-1Serie D - Girone I
Apr 26, 2026Savoia(home)1-3Serie D - Girone I
Apr 19, 2026Vibonese(away)3-2Serie D - Girone I
Apr 12, 2026CastrumFavara(home)0-3Serie D - Girone I

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4AC Palermo3418610594760

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Modica vs AC Palermo?
The Footlab model makes Modica the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for AC Palermo.
Where and when is Modica vs AC Palermo played?
Modica vs AC Palermo is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone I.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Modica and AC Palermo

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