Modica vs AC Palermo: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Modica the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for AC Palermo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Modica wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Modica vs AC Palermo?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Modica (1,711) and AC Palermo (1,723).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Modica vs AC Palermo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Modica
Not enough data to predict the Modica lineup.
AC Palermo
Not enough data to predict the AC Palermo lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Modica have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; AC Palermo have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Calcio Avola(away) | 4-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Enna(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Siracusa(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CastrumFavara(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Licata(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gela(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Milazzo(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vibonese(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Modica score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 8; AC Palermo score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modica | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 2/8 | 4/8 |
| AC Palermo | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Modica sit 13th in Serie D - Girone I (7 points from 7 matches) and AC Palermo sit 10th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | AC Palermo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 13 | Modica | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Modica vs AC Palermo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Modica vs AC Palermo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Modica the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for AC Palermo.
- Where and when is Modica vs AC Palermo played?
- Modica vs AC Palermo is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.