Viborg vs FC Midtjylland: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Energi Viborg Arena, Viborg
The Footlab model makes FC Midtjylland the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Viborg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Viborg vs FC Midtjylland?
FC Midtjylland starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (2,169 vs 2,012).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Viborg have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; FC Midtjylland have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(home) | 4-0 | Superliga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aarhus(home) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sonderjyske(away) | 0-0 | Superliga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Brondby(away) | 0-1 | Superliga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Odense(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Randers FC(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lyngby(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Bohemians(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Bohemians(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Viborg win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 FC Midtjylland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | FC Midtjylland 3-3 Viborg | Superliga |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Viborg 1-1 FC Midtjylland | Superliga |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Viborg 3-3 FC Midtjylland | Superliga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | FC Midtjylland 2-0 Viborg | Superliga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Viborg 1-0 FC Midtjylland | Superliga |
| Sep 29, 2024 | FC Midtjylland 3-1 Viborg | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: FC Midtjylland vs Viborg on May 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Viborg score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Midtjylland score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viborg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| FC Midtjylland | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Viborg sit 1st in Superliga (10 points from 5 matches) and FC Midtjylland sit 4th (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viborg | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Midtjylland | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Viborg vs FC Midtjylland?
- The Footlab model makes FC Midtjylland the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Viborg.
- Where and when is Viborg vs FC Midtjylland played?
- Viborg vs FC Midtjylland is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Energi Viborg Arena, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.