FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Parken, København
The Footlab AI model makes FC Copenhagen the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Aarhus. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Copenhagen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus?
FC Copenhagen starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (2,103 vs 1,996).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Copenhagen
4-2-3-1- 14A. Cornelius
- 16Robert
- 10M. Elyounoussi
- 6A. Markgráf
- 33A. Král
- 27T. Delaney
- 2F. Beijmo
- 36W. Clem
- 4A. Sørensen
- 15M. López
- 1D. Ramaj
Aarhus
3-4-2-1- 13J. Serra
- 10Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
- 23M. Anderson
- 4M. Knudsen
- 29R. Carstensen
- 39Frederik Emmery
- 31T. Bech
- 3D. Grétarsson
- 25C. Rösler
- 14T. Mølgaard
- 21M. Hedenstad Christiansen
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Copenhagen have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Aarhus have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Midtjylland(away) | 1-2 | Superliga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Hamburger SV(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Brondby(away) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Skovshoved(away) | 3-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 11, 2026 | AC Horsens(home) | 2-0 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Sonderjyske(home) | 3-0 | Superliga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AC Horsens(away) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Skjold Sæby(away) | 6-1 | DBU Pokalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Copenhagen wins, 0 draws, 4 Aarhus wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Aarhus 4-0 FC Copenhagen | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Aarhus 2-0 FC Copenhagen | Superliga |
| Aug 8, 2025 | FC Copenhagen 2-3 Aarhus | Superliga |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Aarhus 1-3 FC Copenhagen | Superliga |
| Apr 21, 2025 | FC Copenhagen 3-1 Aarhus | Superliga |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Aarhus 4-3 FC Copenhagen | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Aarhus vs FC Copenhagen on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Copenhagen score 2.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Aarhus score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Copenhagen | 2.4 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Aarhus | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Copenhagen sit 1st in Superliga (24 points from 10 matches) and Aarhus sit 10th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 10 | 24 |
| 10 | Aarhus | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 8 |
A question about FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Copenhagen the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Aarhus.
- Where and when is FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus played?
- FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Parken, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.