Vihren vs Fratria: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Spartak, Sandanski
The Footlab model makes Vihren the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Fratria. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vihren vs Fratria?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Vihren (1,715) and Fratria (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vihren have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Fratria have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ludogorets II(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hebar 1918(away) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Marek(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Vihren win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Fratria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Vihren 2-1 Fratria | Second League |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Fratria 2-0 Vihren | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Vihren score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Fratria score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vihren | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Fratria | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vihren sit 6th in Second League (8 points from 4 matches) and Fratria sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fratria | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Vihren | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vihren vs Fratria?
- The Footlab model makes Vihren the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Fratria.
- Where and when is Vihren vs Fratria played?
- Vihren vs Fratria is played on August 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Spartak, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 21, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa2-1Etar Veliko Tarnovo
- Aug 22, 2026Rilski Sportist2-1Montana
- Aug 23, 2026Marek4-2Dobrudzha
- Aug 23, 2026Nesebar7-0Pirin Blagoevgrad
- Aug 23, 2026Yantra 20191-0Sportist Svoge
- Aug 23, 2026Hebar 19181-0Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Aug 25, 2026CSKA Sofia IIvsLudogorets II
- Aug 25, 2026BeroevsSpartak Pleven