Beroe vs Spartak Pleven: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora
The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Spartak Pleven. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beroe vs Spartak Pleven?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Beroe (1,658) and Spartak Pleven (1,606).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beroe have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Spartak Pleven have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Ludogorets II(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Zagorets(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Marek(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Montana(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Beroe win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Spartak Pleven win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Beroe 2-0 Spartak Pleven | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Beroe 3-0 Spartak Pleven | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Beroe vs Spartak Pleven on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Beroe score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Pleven score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beroe | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Spartak Pleven | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beroe sit 11th in Second League (6 points from 4 matches) and Spartak Pleven sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spartak Pleven | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 11 | Beroe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beroe vs Spartak Pleven?
- The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Spartak Pleven.
- Where and when is Beroe vs Spartak Pleven played?
- Beroe vs Spartak Pleven is played on August 25, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Beroe, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 21, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa2-1Etar Veliko Tarnovo
- Aug 22, 2026Rilski Sportist2-1Montana
- Aug 23, 2026Marek4-2Dobrudzha
- Aug 23, 2026Nesebar7-0Pirin Blagoevgrad
- Aug 23, 2026Yantra 20191-0Sportist Svoge
- Aug 23, 2026Hebar 19181-0Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Aug 24, 2026VihrenvsFratria
- Aug 25, 2026CSKA Sofia IIvsLudogorets II