Viitorul Arad vs Metalurgistul Cugir: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Sânicolau Mic, Arad
The Footlab model makes Metalurgistul Cugir the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Viitorul Arad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Viitorul Arad vs Metalurgistul Cugir?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Viitorul Arad (1,399) and Metalurgistul Cugir (1,452).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Viitorul Arad have 3 wins, 0 draws and 12 defeats; Metalurgistul Cugir have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Unirea Sântana(away) | 0-4 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | SCM Zalău(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Minaur Baia Mare(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Sănătatea Cluj(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 2, 2026 | Unirea Tășnad(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(home) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Hidro Mecanica Sugag(away) | 10-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Minaur Baia Mare(home) | 3-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 15, 2026 | Sănătatea Cluj(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Unirea Tășnad(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Viitorul Arad win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Metalurgistul Cugir win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Metalurgistul Cugir 1-0 Viitorul Arad | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Viitorul Arad 2-1 Metalurgistul Cugir | Liga III - Serie 7 |
Last archived meeting: Metalurgistul Cugir vs Viitorul Arad on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Viitorul Arad score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Metalurgistul Cugir score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viitorul Arad | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Metalurgistul Cugir | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Viitorul Arad sit 3rd in Liga III - Serie 7 (40 points from 22 matches) and Metalurgistul Cugir sit 4th (40 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Viitorul Arad | 22 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 23 | 40 |
| 4 | Metalurgistul Cugir | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Viitorul Arad vs Metalurgistul Cugir?
- The Footlab model makes Metalurgistul Cugir the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Viitorul Arad.
- Where and when is Viitorul Arad vs Metalurgistul Cugir played?
- Viitorul Arad vs Metalurgistul Cugir is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Sânicolau Mic, in the Liga III - Serie 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.