Nera Bogodinţi vs Unirea Alba Iulia: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Unirea Alba Iulia the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Nera Bogodinţi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nera Bogodinţi vs Unirea Alba Iulia?
Unirea Alba Iulia is a heavy favourite: 1,739 Elo points against 1,372, a 367-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Nera Bogodinţi have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Unirea Alba Iulia have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2022 | Gloria al Oraşului Geoag(away) | 0-13 | Cupa României |
| Jul 6, 2022 | Turceni(home) | 0-4 | Cupa României |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sănătatea Cluj(away) | 2-2 | Cupa României |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 30, 2026 | Minerul Lupeni(away) | 3-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sănătatea Cluj(home) | 1-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Unirea Tășnad(away) | 4-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Nera Bogodinţi score 0.0 and concede 8.5 goals per match over their last 2; Unirea Alba Iulia score 1.8 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nera Bogodinţi | 0.0 | 8.5 | 0 | 0/2 | 2/2 |
| Unirea Alba Iulia | 1.8 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unirea Alba Iulia | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 71 | 12 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nera Bogodinţi vs Unirea Alba Iulia?
- The Footlab model makes Unirea Alba Iulia the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Nera Bogodinţi.
- Where and when is Nera Bogodinţi vs Unirea Alba Iulia played?
- Nera Bogodinţi vs Unirea Alba Iulia is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.