Vila Meã vs Maria da Fonte: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 24Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Vila Meã, Vila Meã (Amarante)
The Footlab AI model makes Vila Meã the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Maria da Fonte. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vila Meã wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vila Meã vs Maria da Fonte?
On Elo ratings, Vila Meã has 1,832 points and Maria da Fonte 1,748.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vila Meã vs Maria da Fonte
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vila Meã
Not enough data to predict the Vila Meã lineup.
Maria da Fonte
4-3-3- 27João Antunes
- 10Henrique Vieira
- 70João Araújo
- 6Davide Caseiro
- AAndré Faria
- 8Dino Fernandes
- 21Cabreira
- 24Leandro Albano
- 83Wilson Oliveira
- 5Rafael Pereira
- 1Paulo Jorge
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 07:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vila Meã have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Maria da Fonte have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Maia Lidador(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Nov 1, 2026 | SC Braga B(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Brito(home) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celoricense(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vinhais(home) | 4-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(home) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Montalegre(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Bragança(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Maia Lidador(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 1-5 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Vila Meã win, 1 draw, 0 Maria da Fonte wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | Maria da Fonte 2-2 Vila Meã | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Vila Meã 4-0 Maria da Fonte | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Maria da Fonte vs Vila Meã on Mar 12, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Vila Meã score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Maria da Fonte score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Meã | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Maria da Fonte | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vila Meã sit 10th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (9 points from 7 matches) and Maria da Fonte sit 13th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Vila Meã | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 13 | Maria da Fonte | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
A question about Vila Meã vs Maria da Fonte?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vila Meã vs Maria da Fonte?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vila Meã the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Maria da Fonte.
- Where and when is Vila Meã vs Maria da Fonte played?
- Vila Meã vs Maria da Fonte is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Vila Meã, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.