Tirsense vs Vila Meã: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 25Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Abel Alves de Figueiredo, Santo Tirso
The Footlab AI model makes Tirsense the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Vila Meã. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tirsense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tirsense vs Vila Meã?
On Elo ratings, Tirsense has 1,954 points and Vila Meã 1,892.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tirsense vs Vila Meã
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tirsense
Not enough data to predict the Tirsense lineup.
Vila Meã
Not enough data to predict the Vila Meã lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tirsense have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Vila Meã have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | SC Braga B(away) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mafra(away) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Brito(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Celoricense(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vinhais(home) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celoricense(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vinhais(home) | 4-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rebordosa(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Maia Lidador(away) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Os Limianos(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Tirsense wins, 1 draw, 0 Vila Meã wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2023 | Tirsense 1-1 Vila Meã | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Vila Meã 0-1 Tirsense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Tirsense 1-0 Vila Meã | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Vila Meã 0-1 Tirsense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Tirsense score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Vila Meã score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tirsense | 1.1 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Vila Meã | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tirsense sit 2nd in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (9 points from 4 matches) and Vila Meã sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tirsense | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Vila Meã | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
A question about Tirsense vs Vila Meã?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tirsense vs Vila Meã?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tirsense the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Vila Meã.
- Where and when is Tirsense vs Vila Meã played?
- Tirsense vs Vila Meã is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Abel Alves de Figueiredo, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.