Vila Nova vs CRAC: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 4Kick-off on July 13, 2013 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia, Goiás
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What was the result of Vila Nova vs CRAC?
Vila Nova won 1-0 on July 13, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 45′Carlos Esteban FrontiniVila Nova (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vila Nova have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; CRAC have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2013 | Mogi Mirim(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 9, 2013 | Duque de Caxias(away) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 2, 2013 | Grêmio Barueri(home) | 3-1 | Serie C |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Brasiliense(away) | 2-4 | Serie C |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Macaé(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2013 | Madureira(home) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Jun 9, 2013 | Grêmio Barueri(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 1, 2013 | Ipatinga(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Oct 21, 2012 | Sampaio Correa(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Oct 14, 2012 | Sampaio Correa(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Vila Nova score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; CRAC score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| CRAC | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy