Caxias vs Mogi Mirim: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 4Kick-off on July 14, 2013 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Francisco Stédile, Caxias do Sul, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Caxias vs Mogi Mirim?
Caxias won 1-0 on July 14, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 69′Jonatan da Silva LimaCaxias
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caxias have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Mogi Mirim have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2013 | Guarani Campinas(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Jun 8, 2013 | Ipatinga(away) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Jun 4, 2013 | Macaé(home) | 2-1 | Serie C |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Duque de Caxias(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Oct 21, 2012 | Brasiliense(home) | 3-0 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2013 | Vila Nova(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Jun 9, 2013 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 1, 2013 | Duque de Caxias(home) | 3-2 | Serie C |
| Oct 5, 2012 | CRAC(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Sep 30, 2012 | CRAC(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Caxias score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mogi Mirim score 1.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caxias | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Mogi Mirim | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Caxias | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy