Vilanova vs San Juan Atletico de Montcada: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Associació dels Alumnes Obrers, Vilanova i la Geltrú
The Footlab model makes Vilanova the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for San Juan Atletico de Montcada. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vilanova vs San Juan Atletico de Montcada?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vilanova have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; San Juan Atletico de Montcada have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Manresa(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Cornellà(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 17, 2026 | Cornellà(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 10, 2026 | Lleida Esportiu(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Can Vidalet(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Vilanova | 34 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vilanova vs San Juan Atletico de Montcada?
- The Footlab model makes Vilanova the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for San Juan Atletico de Montcada.
- Where and when is Vilanova vs San Juan Atletico de Montcada played?
- Vilanova vs San Juan Atletico de Montcada is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Associació dels Alumnes Obrers, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.