Vilassar Mar vs Cornellà: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Xevi Ramon, Vilassar de Mar
The Footlab AI model makes Cornellà the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Vilassar Mar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cornellà wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vilassar Mar vs Cornellà?
Cornellà starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,628).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vilassar Mar vs Cornellà
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vilassar Mar
Not enough data to predict the Vilassar Mar lineup.
Cornellà
Not enough data to predict the Cornellà lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vilassar Mar have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Cornellà have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | L'Escala(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Europa II(home) | 1-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Grama(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Badalona(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mollerussa(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cerdanyola del Vallès(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Vilassar Mar wins, 1 draw, 1 Cornellà win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Vilassar Mar 0-0 Cornellà | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Cornellà 1-0 Vilassar Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Vilassar Mar vs Cornellà on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vilassar Mar score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cornellà score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vilassar Mar | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Cornellà | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vilassar Mar sit 18th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (4 points from 6 matches) and Cornellà sit 14th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cornellà | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 18 | Vilassar Mar | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 4 |
A question about Vilassar Mar vs Cornellà?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vilassar Mar vs Cornellà?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cornellà the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Vilassar Mar.
- Where and when is Vilassar Mar vs Cornellà played?
- Vilassar Mar vs Cornellà is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Xevi Ramon, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.