San Cristóbal vs Atlètic Lleida: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Panamericano, San Cristóbal
The Footlab model makes Atlètic Lleida the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for San Cristóbal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Cristóbal vs Atlètic Lleida?
Atlètic Lleida starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,803 vs 1,675).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Cristóbal have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Atlètic Lleida have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Manresa(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Europa II(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Grama(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Tona(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | L'Escala(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Manresa(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Reddis(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barbastro(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Andratx(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Barcelona B(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 San Cristóbal win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Atlètic Lleida win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | San Cristóbal 0-2 Atlètic Lleida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Atlètic Lleida 0-0 San Cristóbal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: San Cristóbal vs Atlètic Lleida on Feb 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
San Cristóbal score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Atlètic Lleida score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Cristóbal | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Atlètic Lleida | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | San Cristóbal | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 39 | 48 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Cristóbal vs Atlètic Lleida?
- The Footlab model makes Atlètic Lleida the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for San Cristóbal.
- Where and when is San Cristóbal vs Atlètic Lleida played?
- San Cristóbal vs Atlètic Lleida is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Panamericano, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.