Villalbés vs Estradense: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal A Magdalena, Villalba
The Footlab model makes Estradense the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Villalbés. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villalbés vs Estradense?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Villalbés (1,777) and Estradense (1,810).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villalbés have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Estradense have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Compostela(away) | 1-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Compostela(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | CD Lugo B(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Silva(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Barco(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | Compostela(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Villalbés win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Estradense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | Villalbés 0-2 Estradense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Estradense 0-0 Villalbés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Estradense 4-1 Villalbés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Villalbés 2-1 Estradense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Estradense 3-1 Villalbés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Villalbés 2-0 Estradense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Villalbés vs Estradense on Mar 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villalbés score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Estradense score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villalbés | 0.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Estradense | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villalbés sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (52 points from 34 matches) and Estradense sit 4th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Estradense | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 46 | 33 | 53 |
| 5 | Villalbés | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villalbés vs Estradense?
- The Footlab model makes Estradense the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Villalbés.
- Where and when is Villalbés vs Estradense played?
- Villalbés vs Estradense is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal A Magdalena, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.