Sarriana vs Arenteiro: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal De Ribela, Sarria
The Footlab AI model makes Sarriana the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Arenteiro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sarriana wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarriana vs Arenteiro?
Sarriana starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,781 vs 1,661).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sarriana vs Arenteiro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sarriana
Not enough data to predict the Sarriana lineup.
Arenteiro
4-3-3- 7David Ferreiro
- 11J. Cuéllar
- 9Nacho Ramón
- 21Álex López
- 10Chuca
- 6B. Val
- 5Gorka Pérez
- 4E. Falcon
- 15D. Moreno
- 16Daniel Lasure
- 1Álvaro Abajas
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarriana have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Arenteiro have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Somozas(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alondras(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Viveiro(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Estradense(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Antela(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pontevedra II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lalin(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Portonovo SD(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Barco(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sarriana score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arenteiro score 0.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarriana | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Arenteiro | 0.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarriana sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Arenteiro sit 17th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sarriana | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 17 | Arenteiro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
A question about Sarriana vs Arenteiro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarriana vs Arenteiro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sarriana the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Arenteiro.
- Where and when is Sarriana vs Arenteiro played?
- Sarriana vs Arenteiro is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal De Ribela, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.