Villarreal III vs Acero: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 · Matchday 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, Villarreal
The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal III the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Acero. The most likely score is 1-1. If Villarreal III wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,941 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villarreal III vs Acero?
Villarreal III starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,871 vs 1,682).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Villarreal III vs Acero
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Villarreal III
Not enough data to predict the Villarreal III lineup.
Acero
4-3-3- FFerrán Giner
- VVíctor Juliá
- JJulio Insa
- JJavier Martí Vila
- FFuster
- SSanjuán
- FF. Delorenzi
- AAlejandro Guillén Lorenzo
- DDamián Sánchez
- ÁÁlvaro Loza
- CCharlie Florencio
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 12:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villarreal III have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Acero have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Jove Español(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | SC Torrevieja(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Utiel(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crevillente(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Buñol(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Vall de Uxó(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Hércules II(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Torrent(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Eldense B(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atzeneta(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Villarreal III wins, 1 draw, 2 Acero wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024 | Acero 3-2 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Villarreal III 5-1 Acero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Villarreal III 3-1 Acero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Acero 1-2 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Villarreal III 0-1 Acero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Acero 2-2 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Acero vs Villarreal III on Feb 11, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Villarreal III score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Acero score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal III | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Acero | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villarreal III sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (24 points from 10 matches) and Acero sit 5th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal III | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | Acero | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 15 |
A question about Villarreal III vs Acero?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villarreal III vs Acero?
- The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal III the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Acero.
- Where and when is Villarreal III vs Acero played?
- Villarreal III vs Acero is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.