Villarreal III vs Acero: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, Villarreal
The Footlab model makes Villarreal III the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Acero. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villarreal III vs Acero?
Villarreal III starts as the favourite with a 205-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,667).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villarreal III have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Acero have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Levante II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 17, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 9, 2026 | Torrellano(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Levante II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atzeneta(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | Silla(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 5, 2024 | Ontinyent 1931(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 1, 2024 | Elche II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Utiel(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Levante II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Villarreal III win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Acero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024 | Acero 3-2 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Villarreal III 5-1 Acero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Villarreal III 3-1 Acero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Acero 1-2 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Villarreal III 0-1 Acero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Acero 2-2 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Acero vs Villarreal III on Feb 11, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Villarreal III score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Acero score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal III | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Acero | 1.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Villarreal III | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 64 | 36 | 63 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villarreal III vs Acero?
- The Footlab model makes Villarreal III the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Acero.
- Where and when is Villarreal III vs Acero played?
- Villarreal III vs Acero is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.