Utiel vs Hércules II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Muncipal La Celadilla, Utiel
The Footlab AI model makes Hércules II the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Utiel. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hércules II wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Utiel vs Hércules II?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Utiel (1,668) and Hércules II (1,731).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Utiel vs Hércules II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Utiel
Not enough data to predict the Utiel lineup.
Hércules II
4-3-3- JJorge Galvañ
- SSalah
- SS. Akyuz
- VVíctor Esquerdo
- MManu Navarro
- RRafael Palao
- JJosé Ruiz
- DD. Leiva
- ÁÁlvaro Ivorra
- NNicolás Ortiz
- ÁÁngel Marín
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Utiel have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Hércules II have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Saguntino(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Roda(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Soneja(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Acero(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Torrent(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Eldense B(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atzeneta(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Torrellano(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Jove Español(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Utiel win, 0 draws, 1 Hércules II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Utiel 1-2 Hércules II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Hércules II 0-2 Utiel | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Utiel score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hércules II score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utiel | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Hércules II | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Utiel sit 18th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (3 points from 6 matches) and Hércules II sit 3rd (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hércules II | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 18 | Utiel | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
A question about Utiel vs Hércules II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Utiel vs Hércules II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hércules II the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Utiel.
- Where and when is Utiel vs Hércules II played?
- Utiel vs Hércules II is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Muncipal La Celadilla, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.