Utiel vs Hércules II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Muncipal La Celadilla, Utiel
The Footlab model makes Utiel the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Hércules II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Utiel vs Hércules II?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Utiel (1,692) and Hércules II (1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Utiel have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Hércules II have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Vall de Uxó(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Alzira(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Jove Español(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Roda(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | RC Catarroja(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Saguntino(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Castellonense(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ontinyent 1931(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Villarreal III(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Soneja(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Utiel win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hércules II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Utiel 1-2 Hércules II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Hércules II 0-2 Utiel | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Utiel score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hércules II score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utiel | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Hércules II | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Utiel sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (31 points from 34 matches) and Hércules II sit 11th (41 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hércules II | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 31 | 46 | 41 |
| 16 | Utiel | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 45 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Utiel vs Hércules II?
- The Footlab model makes Utiel the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Hércules II.
- Where and when is Utiel vs Hércules II played?
- Utiel vs Hércules II is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Muncipal La Celadilla, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.