Villarreal III vs Buñol: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, Villarreal
The Footlab model makes Villarreal III the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Buñol. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villarreal III vs Buñol?
Villarreal III starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,742).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villarreal III have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Buñol have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Levante II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 17, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 9, 2026 | Torrellano(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Levante II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atzeneta(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Alzira(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Jove Español(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Roda(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | RC Catarroja(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Torrellano(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Villarreal III win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Buñol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Buñol 2-2 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Villarreal III 1-1 Buñol | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Buñol vs Villarreal III on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villarreal III score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Buñol score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal III | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Buñol | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villarreal III sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (63 points from 34 matches) and Buñol sit 6th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Villarreal III | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 64 | 36 | 63 |
| 6 | Buñol | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 34 | 40 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villarreal III vs Buñol?
- The Footlab model makes Villarreal III the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Buñol.
- Where and when is Villarreal III vs Buñol played?
- Villarreal III vs Buñol is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.