Torrent vs Hércules II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Gregorio, Torrent
The Footlab model makes Torrent the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Hércules II. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torrent vs Hércules II?
Torrent starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,841 vs 1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torrent have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Hércules II have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Barcelona B(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Girona II(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Barbastro(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Reddis(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Saguntino(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Castellonense(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ontinyent 1931(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Villarreal III(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Soneja(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Torrent win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hércules II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2023 | Torrent 5-0 Hércules II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Dec 10, 2022 | Hércules II 1-1 Torrent | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Torrent 1-0 Hércules II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Hércules II 1-0 Torrent | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 22, 2021 | Hércules II 0-2 Torrent | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2021 | Torrent 2-0 Hércules II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Torrent vs Hércules II on Apr 9, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Torrent score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hércules II score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torrent | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Hércules II | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hércules II | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 31 | 46 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torrent vs Hércules II?
- The Footlab model makes Torrent the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Hércules II.
- Where and when is Torrent vs Hércules II played?
- Torrent vs Hércules II is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Gregorio, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.