Villarreal III vs Crevillente: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, Villarreal
The Footlab model makes Villarreal III the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Crevillente. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villarreal III vs Crevillente?
Villarreal III starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,876 vs 1,719).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villarreal III have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Crevillente have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Levante II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 17, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 9, 2026 | Torrellano(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Levante II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atzeneta(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Roda(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | RC Catarroja(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Torrellano(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Levante II(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atzeneta(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Villarreal III win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Crevillente win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Crevillente 1-2 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Villarreal III 1-0 Crevillente | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Crevillente 0-0 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Villarreal III 1-0 Crevillente | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Jan 26, 2020 | Villarreal III 1-1 Crevillente | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 8, 2019 | Crevillente 1-1 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Crevillente vs Villarreal III on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villarreal III score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Crevillente score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal III | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Crevillente | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villarreal III sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (63 points from 34 matches) and Crevillente sit 13th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Villarreal III | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 64 | 36 | 63 |
| 13 | Crevillente | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 44 | 49 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villarreal III vs Crevillente?
- The Footlab model makes Villarreal III the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Crevillente.
- Where and when is Villarreal III vs Crevillente played?
- Villarreal III vs Crevillente is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.