Ontinyent 1931 vs Utiel: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal El Clariano, Ontinyent
The Footlab model makes Ontinyent 1931 the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Utiel. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ontinyent 1931 vs Utiel?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Ontinyent 1931 (1,747) and Utiel (1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ontinyent 1931 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Utiel have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Atzeneta(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Hércules II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Castellonense(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Saguntino(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Vall de Uxó(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Alzira(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Jove Español(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Roda(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | RC Catarroja(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ontinyent 1931 win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Utiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Utiel 1-2 Ontinyent 1931 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Ontinyent 1931 0-0 Utiel | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Utiel 0-1 Ontinyent 1931 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Ontinyent 1931 2-0 Utiel | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Utiel 1-0 Ontinyent 1931 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Ontinyent 1931 1-1 Utiel | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Utiel vs Ontinyent 1931 on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ontinyent 1931 score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Utiel score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ontinyent 1931 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Utiel | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ontinyent 1931 sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (48 points from 34 matches) and Utiel sit 16th (31 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ontinyent 1931 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 32 | 30 | 48 |
| 16 | Utiel | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 45 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ontinyent 1931 vs Utiel?
- The Footlab model makes Ontinyent 1931 the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Utiel.
- Where and when is Ontinyent 1931 vs Utiel played?
- Ontinyent 1931 vs Utiel is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal El Clariano, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.