Villarreal III vs Hércules II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, Villarreal
The Footlab model makes Villarreal III the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Hércules II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villarreal III vs Hércules II?
Villarreal III starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villarreal III have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Hércules II have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Levante II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 17, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 9, 2026 | Torrellano(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Levante II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atzeneta(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Saguntino(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Castellonense(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ontinyent 1931(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Villarreal III(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Soneja(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Villarreal III win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Hércules II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hércules II 0-4 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Villarreal III 0-1 Hércules II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Hércules II 2-0 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Villarreal III 1-0 Hércules II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Hércules II 1-0 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Villarreal III 2-1 Hércules II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Hércules II vs Villarreal III on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villarreal III score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hércules II score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal III | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Hércules II | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villarreal III sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (63 points from 34 matches) and Hércules II sit 11th (41 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Villarreal III | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 64 | 36 | 63 |
| 11 | Hércules II | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 31 | 46 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villarreal III vs Hércules II?
- The Footlab model makes Villarreal III the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Hércules II.
- Where and when is Villarreal III vs Hércules II played?
- Villarreal III vs Hércules II is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.