Vall de Uxó vs Villarreal III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Villarreal III the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Vall de Uxó. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vall de Uxó vs Villarreal III?
Villarreal III starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,760).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vall de Uxó have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Villarreal III have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Utiel(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Saguntino(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Alzira(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Jove Español(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Roda(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Levante II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 17, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 9, 2026 | Torrellano(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Levante II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atzeneta(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Vall de Uxó win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Villarreal III win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Vall de Uxó 2-0 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Villarreal III 0-3 Vall de Uxó | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 11, 2025 | Vall de Uxó 2-2 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Villarreal III 4-1 Vall de Uxó | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Vall de Uxó vs Villarreal III on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vall de Uxó score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Villarreal III score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vall de Uxó | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Villarreal III | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vall de Uxó sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (49 points from 34 matches) and Villarreal III sit 4th (63 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Villarreal III | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 64 | 36 | 63 |
| 7 | Vall de Uxó | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 29 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vall de Uxó vs Villarreal III?
- The Footlab model makes Villarreal III the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Vall de Uxó.
- Where and when is Vall de Uxó vs Villarreal III played?
- Vall de Uxó vs Villarreal III is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.