Villarreal vs Liverpool: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Europa LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on April 28, 2016 at 07:05 PM (UTC)Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
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What was the result of Villarreal vs Liverpool?
Villarreal won 1-0 on April 28, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 90′Adrián LópezVillarreal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villarreal have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Liverpool have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2016 | Real Sociedad(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Apr 20, 2016 | Real Madrid(away) | 0-3 | La Liga |
| Apr 17, 2016 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Apr 14, 2016 | Sparta Praha(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Apr 10, 2016 | Getafe(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2016 | Newcastle(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2016 | Everton(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 17, 2016 | Bournemouth(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 14, 2016 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 4-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Apr 10, 2016 | Stoke City(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Villarreal score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Liverpool score 2.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Liverpool | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy