Crystal Palace vs Liverpool: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Selhurst Park, London
The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Crystal Palace. The most likely score is 1-1. If Liverpool wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,488 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?
Liverpool starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (2,242 vs 2,076).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1- 14J. Mateta
- 3T. Mitchell
- 20A. Wharton
- 10Yeremy Pino
- 18D. Kamada
- 11D. McNeil
- 30Óscar Mingueza
- 26C. Richards
- 6J. Canvot
- 5A. Disasi
- 1D. Henderson
Liverpool
4-2-3-1- 9A. Isak
- 10A. Mac Allister
- 29B. Barcola
- 7F. Wirtz
- 18C. Gakpo
- 42T. Nyoni
- 4V. van Dijk
- 5J. Jacquet
- 6M. Kerkez
- 21K. Tsimikas
- 1Alisson Becker
Known absences
R. AraújoOut · Muscle injury
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 06:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crystal Palace have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Liverpool have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 4-3 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Crystal Palace wins, 2 draws, 2 Liverpool wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Liverpool 3-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Liverpool 0-3 Crystal Palace | League Cup |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Crystal Palace 2-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Crystal Palace 2-2 Liverpool | Community Shield |
| May 25, 2025 | Liverpool 1-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Crystal Palace 0-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Liverpool vs Crystal Palace on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crystal Palace score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Liverpool score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 1.4 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Liverpool | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crystal Palace sit 18th in Premier League (7 points from 9 matches) and Liverpool sit 5th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 15 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 7 |
A question about Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?
- The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Crystal Palace.
- Where and when is Crystal Palace vs Liverpool played?
- Crystal Palace vs Liverpool is played on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Selhurst Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.