Villarrobledo vs Toledo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 · Matchday 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuestra Señora de la Caridad, Villarrobledo
The Footlab AI model makes Toledo the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Villarrobledo. The most likely score is 0-0. If Toledo wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,488 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villarrobledo vs Toledo?
Toledo starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,897 vs 1,736).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Villarrobledo vs Toledo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Villarrobledo
Not enough data to predict the Villarrobledo lineup.
Toledo
Not enough data to predict the Toledo lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 09:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villarrobledo have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Toledo have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | San Clemente(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Almansa(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Manchego(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Huracán Balazote(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villacañas(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Marchamalo(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | San Clemente(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Almansa(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Manchego(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Huracán Balazote(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Villarrobledo wins, 2 draws, 4 Toledo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Villarrobledo 0-0 Toledo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Toledo 3-1 Villarrobledo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Villarrobledo 0-1 Toledo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Toledo 1-0 Villarrobledo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 5, 2024 | Toledo 1-0 Villarrobledo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Villarrobledo 1-1 Toledo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Villarrobledo vs Toledo on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villarrobledo score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Toledo score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarrobledo | 0.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Toledo | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villarrobledo sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (17 points from 9 matches) and Toledo sit 2nd (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toledo | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Villarrobledo | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 17 |
A question about Villarrobledo vs Toledo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villarrobledo vs Toledo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Toledo the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Villarrobledo.
- Where and when is Villarrobledo vs Toledo played?
- Villarrobledo vs Toledo is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuestra Señora de la Caridad, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.