Quintanar del Rey vs Noblejas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Marcos, Quintanar del Rey
The Footlab AI model makes Quintanar del Rey the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Noblejas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Quintanar del Rey wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,757 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Quintanar del Rey vs Noblejas?
Quintanar del Rey starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,793 vs 1,663).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Quintanar del Rey vs Noblejas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Quintanar del Rey
4-3-3- 11Chabo
- 19E. Iglesias
- 16T. Perez
- 21E. Fabra
- 18R. Murcia
- 17R. Fita
- 5Fer Romero
- 2S. Perea
- 3D. Jodar Ruiz
- 4E. Emanuele
- 13K. Bartual
Noblejas
4-3-3- RRaúl Alcalá
- SSergio Nieto
- CCarlos Domenech
- MMiguel Chaves Aznar
- SSergio Bazaga
- AAbraham Santiago De Loma
- FFernando Matallanos
- JJuanlu
- CChristian Zielinski
- CCarlos Gómez
- JJavier Torrecilla Guerrero
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 05:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quintanar del Rey have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Noblejas have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Socuéllamos(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tarancón(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Guadalajara II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CD Villa(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torrijos(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Guadalajara II(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | CD Villa(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torrijos(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Illescas(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Villarrobledo(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Quintanar del Rey win, 0 draws, 1 Noblejas win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2025 | Noblejas 0-2 Quintanar del Rey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Quintanar del Rey 2-3 Noblejas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Noblejas vs Quintanar del Rey on Apr 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Quintanar del Rey score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Noblejas score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quintanar del Rey | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Noblejas | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Quintanar del Rey sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (5 points from 8 matches) and Noblejas sit 8th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Noblejas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 13 |
| 16 | Quintanar del Rey | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 5 |
A question about Quintanar del Rey vs Noblejas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Quintanar del Rey vs Noblejas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Quintanar del Rey the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Noblejas.
- Where and when is Quintanar del Rey vs Noblejas played?
- Quintanar del Rey vs Noblejas is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Marcos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.