Quintanar del Rey vs Noblejas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Marcos, Quintanar del Rey
The Footlab model makes Quintanar del Rey the favourite at 62%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Noblejas. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Quintanar del Rey vs Noblejas?
Quintanar del Rey starts as the favourite with a 248-point Elo edge (1,838 vs 1,590).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quintanar del Rey have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Noblejas have 0, 4 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2025 | Marchamalo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 4, 2025 | Cazalegas(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Quintanar del Rey(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Manchego(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Villarrobledo(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Quintanar del Rey win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Noblejas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2025 | Noblejas 0-2 Quintanar del Rey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Quintanar del Rey 2-3 Noblejas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Noblejas vs Quintanar del Rey on Apr 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Quintanar del Rey score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Noblejas score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quintanar del Rey | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Noblejas | 0.9 | 2.3 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Quintanar del Rey vs Noblejas?
- The Footlab model makes Quintanar del Rey the favourite at 62%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Noblejas.
- Where and when is Quintanar del Rey vs Noblejas played?
- Quintanar del Rey vs Noblejas is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Marcos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.