Villarrubia vs Socuéllamos: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Nuevo Municipal, Villarrubia de los Ojos
The Footlab model makes Villarrubia the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Socuéllamos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villarrubia vs Socuéllamos?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Villarrubia (1,782) and Socuéllamos (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villarrubia have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Socuéllamos have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Huracán Balazote(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 3, 2026 | Guadalajara II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Marchamalo(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Azuqueca(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sonseca(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Las Palmas II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Tenerife II(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Villarrubia win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Socuéllamos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Socuéllamos 2-1 Villarrubia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Villarrubia 1-0 Socuéllamos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Villarrubia 1-0 Socuéllamos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Socuéllamos 0-0 Villarrubia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Aug 19, 2021 | Socuéllamos 1-1 Villarrubia | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Socuéllamos 1-0 Villarrubia | Primera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Socuéllamos vs Villarrubia on May 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Villarrubia score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Socuéllamos score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarrubia | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Socuéllamos | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Villarrubia | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42 | 35 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villarrubia vs Socuéllamos?
- The Footlab model makes Villarrubia the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Socuéllamos.
- Where and when is Villarrubia vs Socuéllamos played?
- Villarrubia vs Socuéllamos is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Nuevo Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.