Villarrubia vs Noblejas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Nuevo Municipal, Villarrubia de los Ojos
The Footlab AI model makes Villarrubia the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Noblejas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Villarrubia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,524 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villarrubia vs Noblejas?
Villarrubia starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,767 vs 1,653).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Villarrubia vs Noblejas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Villarrubia
Not enough data to predict the Villarrubia lineup.
Noblejas
Not enough data to predict the Noblejas lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 01:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villarrubia have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Noblejas have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Socuéllamos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tarancón(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Guadalajara II(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CD Villa(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Torrijos(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tarancón(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Guadalajara II(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | CD Villa(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torrijos(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Illescas(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Villarrubia wins, 1 draw, 1 Noblejas win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Noblejas 2-2 Villarrubia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Villarrubia 2-3 Noblejas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Noblejas vs Villarrubia on Mar 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Villarrubia score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Noblejas score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarrubia | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Noblejas | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villarrubia sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (10 points from 9 matches) and Noblejas sit 8th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Noblejas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
| 13 | Villarrubia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 10 |
A question about Villarrubia vs Noblejas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villarrubia vs Noblejas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Villarrubia the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Noblejas.
- Where and when is Villarrubia vs Noblejas played?
- Villarrubia vs Noblejas is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Nuevo Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.