Villaverde Norte vs San Miguel: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 · Matchday 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes San Miguel the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Villaverde Norte. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Miguel wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,441 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villaverde Norte vs San Miguel?
San Miguel starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,779 vs 1,650).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Villaverde Norte vs San Miguel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Villaverde Norte
Not enough data to predict the Villaverde Norte lineup.
San Miguel
Not enough data to predict the San Miguel lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 10:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Villaverde Norte have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 defeats; San Miguel have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | San Bartolomé(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Anaza(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Las Palmas III(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Villaverde Norte wins, 0 draws, 1 San Miguel win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | San Miguel 5-0 Villaverde Norte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: San Miguel vs Villaverde Norte on Oct 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villaverde Norte score 0.7 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 10; San Miguel score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villaverde Norte | 0.7 | 2.4 | 1 | 5/10 | 5/10 |
| San Miguel | 1.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villaverde Norte sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (5 points from 10 matches) and San Miguel sit 3rd (22 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | San Miguel | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 22 |
| 16 | Villaverde Norte | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 5 |
A question about Villaverde Norte vs San Miguel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villaverde Norte vs San Miguel?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Miguel the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Villaverde Norte.
- Where and when is Villaverde Norte vs San Miguel played?
- Villaverde Norte vs San Miguel is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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