Marino vs Lanzarote: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, Los Cristianos (Tenerife)
The Footlab AI model makes Marino the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Lanzarote. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marino wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marino vs Lanzarote?
On Elo ratings, Marino has 1,731 points and Lanzarote 1,774.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marino vs Lanzarote
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marino
Not enough data to predict the Marino lineup.
Lanzarote
Not enough data to predict the Lanzarote lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Lanzarote have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Playas Sotavento(home) | 6-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Laguna de Duero(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Los Llanos(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Las Palmas III(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Bartolomé(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Marino wins, 1 draw, 5 Lanzarote wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Marino 1-1 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Lanzarote 2-1 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 11, 2025 | Lanzarote 3-0 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Marino 2-4 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Lanzarote 4-0 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Marino 2-7 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
Marino score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Lanzarote score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marino | 1.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Lanzarote | 0.9 | 1.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marino sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (7 points from 5 matches) and Lanzarote sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Marino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 7 |
| 13 | Lanzarote | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
A question about Marino vs Lanzarote?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marino vs Lanzarote?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marino the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Lanzarote.
- Where and when is Marino vs Lanzarote played?
- Marino vs Lanzarote is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2027San Fernando CDvsMensajero
- Mar 7, 2027Las Palmas IIIvsTenerife C
- Mar 7, 2027Panadería PulidovsPlayas Sotavento
- Mar 7, 2027Real Unión de TenerifevsEstrella
- Mar 7, 2027Laguna de DuerovsUnión Sur Yaiza
- Mar 7, 2027San BartolomévsAnaza
- Mar 7, 2027Los LlanosvsVilla Santa Brígida
- Mar 7, 2027Villaverde NortevsSan Miguel