Vipava vs Zidgrad Idrija: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ob Beli, Vipava
The Footlab model makes Vipava the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Zidgrad Idrija. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vipava vs Zidgrad Idrija?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Vipava (1,365) and Zidgrad Idrija (1,369).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vipava have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Zidgrad Idrija have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Žiri(home) | 1-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Škofja Loka(away) | 0-5 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 24, 2026 | Dob(home) | 2-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Tolmin(away) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 10, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(home) | 1-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | IB 1975 Ljubljana(away) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Svoboda(away) | 1-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Bistrc(away) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 17, 2026 | Žiri(home) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Tolmin(away) | 0-3 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Vipava win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Zidgrad Idrija win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija 1-0 Vipava | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Vipava 2-1 Zidgrad Idrija | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Zidgrad Idrija 1-1 Vipava | Cup |
| Oct 19, 2022 | Zidgrad Idrija 1-0 Vipava | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Zidgrad Idrija vs Vipava on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vipava score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Zidgrad Idrija score 0.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vipava | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Zidgrad Idrija | 0.9 | 2.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vipava sit 14th in 3. SNL - West (0 points from 2 matches) and Zidgrad Idrija sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zidgrad Idrija | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Vipava | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vipava vs Zidgrad Idrija?
- The Footlab model makes Vipava the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Zidgrad Idrija.
- Where and when is Vipava vs Zidgrad Idrija played?
- Vipava vs Zidgrad Idrija is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ob Beli, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.