Virtus Bolzano vs Este: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Calcio Righi, Bozen
The Footlab model makes Este the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Virtus Bolzano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Bolzano vs Este?
Este starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,763 vs 1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Bolzano have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Este have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Modena(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 5, 2024 | Campodarsego(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Mori Santo Stefano(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Portogruaro(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Adriese(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Clodiense(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 17, 2026 | Legnago Salus(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 3, 2026 | Luparense(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Treviso(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Clodiense(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Virtus Bolzano win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Este win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2024 | Virtus Bolzano 2-1 Este | Serie D - Girone C |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Este 1-1 Virtus Bolzano | Serie D - Girone C |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Virtus Bolzano 3-3 Este | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Este 2-1 Virtus Bolzano | Serie D - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Virtus Bolzano vs Este on Mar 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Bolzano score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Este score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Bolzano | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Este | 0.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Este | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Bolzano vs Este?
- The Footlab model makes Este the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Virtus Bolzano.
- Where and when is Virtus Bolzano vs Este played?
- Virtus Bolzano vs Este is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Calcio Righi, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.