Luparense vs Triestina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Gianni Casée, San Martino di Lupari
The Footlab AI model makes Luparense the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Triestina. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,489 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luparense vs Triestina?
Luparense starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,824 vs 1,691).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Luparense vs Triestina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Luparense
Not enough data to predict the Luparense lineup.
Triestina
4-3-3- 27A. Faggioli
- 9E. Vertainen
- 43O. Gningue
- 15I. Voca
- 17K. Jónsson
- 16J. Vicario
- 14M. Anzolin
- 23T. Silvestri
- 20H. Davis
- 5S. Kosijer
- 1K. Matošević
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 10:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luparense have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Triestina have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sandona(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Este(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Brian Lignano(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Clodiense(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Schio(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Conegliano(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | LME(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | FC Obermais(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cjarlins Muzane(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bassano Virtus(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Luparense score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Triestina score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luparense | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Triestina | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luparense sit 1st in Serie D - Girone C (18 points from 8 matches) and Triestina sit 12th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luparense | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Triestina | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
A question about Luparense vs Triestina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luparense vs Triestina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Luparense the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Triestina.
- Where and when is Luparense vs Triestina played?
- Luparense vs Triestina is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Gianni Casée, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.