Virtus Francavilla vs Paganese: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 17Kick-off on December 16, 2018 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giovanni Paolo II, Francavilla Fontana
Full time
What was the result of Virtus Francavilla vs Paganese?
Virtus Francavilla won 1-0 on December 16, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 73′M. SaraoVirtus Francavilla
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Francavilla have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Paganese have 0, 5 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2018 | Catania(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 9, 2018 | Catanzaro(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 2, 2018 | Potenza(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 24, 2018 | Monopoli(home) | 3-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 17, 2018 | Trapani(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2018 | Matera(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 8, 2018 | Rieti(away) | 1-4 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 2, 2018 | Vibonese(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 24, 2018 | Casertana(away) | 1-4 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 17, 2018 | Cavese(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Virtus Francavilla win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Paganese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2018 | Virtus Francavilla 0-0 Paganese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 14, 2017 | Paganese 2-2 Virtus Francavilla | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 22, 2016 | Virtus Francavilla 2-0 Paganese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 5, 2016 | Paganese 1-1 Virtus Francavilla | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Virtus Francavilla vs Paganese on Mar 3, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Francavilla score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Paganese score 1.0 and concede 2.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Francavilla | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Paganese | 1.0 | 2.6 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy