Vis Pesaro vs Pineto: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 32Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Tonino Benelli, Pesaro
The Footlab model makes Vis Pesaro the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Pineto. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vis Pesaro vs Pineto?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Vis Pesaro (1,781) and Pineto (1,778).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vis Pesaro have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Pineto have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Perugia(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Modena(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cesena(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Latina(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gubbio(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Scafatese(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Vis Pesaro win(s), 5 draw(s), 1 Pineto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Vis Pesaro 0-2 Pineto | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Pineto 1-1 Vis Pesaro | Serie C - Girone B |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Pineto 1-1 Vis Pesaro | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Vis Pesaro 1-1 Pineto | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 5, 2024 | Pineto 1-1 Vis Pesaro | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 30, 2023 | Vis Pesaro 1-1 Pineto | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Vis Pesaro score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pineto score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vis Pesaro | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Pineto | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vis Pesaro sit 17th in Serie C - Girone B (0 points from 1 matches) and Pineto sit 14th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pineto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Vis Pesaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vis Pesaro vs Pineto?
- The Footlab model makes Vis Pesaro the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Pineto.
- Where and when is Vis Pesaro vs Pineto played?
- Vis Pesaro vs Pineto is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Tonino Benelli, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.