Spezia vs Ostia Mare: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 32Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia
The Footlab AI model makes Spezia the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Ostia Mare. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spezia vs Ostia Mare?
On Elo ratings, Spezia has 1,892 points and Ostia Mare 1,794.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Spezia vs Ostia Mare
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Spezia
4-2-3-1- 9S. Mazzocchi
- 70K. Bright
- 14G. Capomaggio
- 24C. Limonelli
- 10K. Jimenez
- 8A. Florenzi
- 13M. Å apola
- 6R. Sganzerla
- 37A. Matějů
- 72S. Capolupo
- 1A. Micai
Ostia Mare
4-3-3- 77F. Tosku
- 17F. D'Andrea
- 9R. Tonin
- 32F. Casolari
- 71F. Carbone
- 8D. Greco
- 13R. Brosco
- 4D. Piroli
- 5P. Giordani
- 27M. Vagnoni
- 1F. Vertua
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spezia have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Ostia Mare have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gubbio(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Reggiana(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Perugia(away) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pianese(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Latina(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Forli(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gubbio(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ravenna(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Spezia score 2.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ostia Mare score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spezia | 2.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Ostia Mare | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spezia sit 1st in Serie C - Girone B (25 points from 9 matches) and Ostia Mare sit 14th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 25 |
| 14 | Ostia Mare | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
A question about Spezia vs Ostia Mare?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spezia vs Ostia Mare?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spezia the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Ostia Mare.
- Where and when is Spezia vs Ostia Mare played?
- Spezia vs Ostia Mare is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Alberto Picco, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.