Vis Pesaro vs Vado: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 18Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Tonino Benelli, Pesaro
The Footlab AI model makes Vado the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Vis Pesaro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vado wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vis Pesaro vs Vado?
Vado starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,774 vs 1,643).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vis Pesaro vs Vado
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vis Pesaro
4-3-3- 9F. Nicastro
- 47A. Konate
- 20R. Giovannini
- 10M. Di Paola
- 7M. Pucciarelli
- 55E. Mariani
- 45P. Giorgini
- 2N. Conti
- 5D. Tonucci
- 33F. Pompilio
- 25A. Gomis
Vado
4-3-3- 11D. Vita
- 31M. Ferro
- 95I. Cernigoi
- 20M. De Rinaldis
- 28Z. Hamlili
- 27D. Hergheligiu
- 5Mirko Saltarelli
- 29F. Saiani
- 14F. Gulinelli
- 18L. Piana
- 22A. Bellocci
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vis Pesaro have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Vado have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Grosseto(home) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Spezia(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Reggiana(home) | 1-4 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Forli(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Perugia(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Forli(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Torres(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pescara(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Livorno(away) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Vis Pesaro score 1.0 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vado score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vis Pesaro | 1.0 | 2.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Vado | 1.0 | 1.3 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vis Pesaro sit 20th in Serie C - Girone B (4 points from 8 matches) and Vado sit 12th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Vado | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 4 |
A question about Vis Pesaro vs Vado?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vis Pesaro vs Vado?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vado the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Vis Pesaro.
- Where and when is Vis Pesaro vs Vado played?
- Vis Pesaro vs Vado is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Tonino Benelli, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.