Gubbio vs Sambenedettese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 18Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Pietro Barbetti, Gubbio
The Footlab AI model makes Gubbio the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Sambenedettese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gubbio wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gubbio vs Sambenedettese?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Gubbio (1,765) and Sambenedettese (1,771).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gubbio vs Sambenedettese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gubbio
4-3-3- 10A. La Mantia
- 7M. Spina
- 92E. Baldini
- 8G. Rosaia
- 47G. Di Noia
- 67F. Carraro
- 27L. Podda
- 4L. Baroncelli
- 34F. Zallu
- 6O. Barry
- 1N. Bagnolini
Sambenedettese
3-5-2- 9L. Sgarbi
- 93S. Magnaghi
- 6M. Piccoli
- 30S. Nicoli
- 37M. Toure
- 18K. Candellori
- 14E. Plicco
- 17L. Pezzola
- 5M. Chelli
- 4A. Zini
- 12T. Krapikas
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gubbio have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Sambenedettese have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spezia(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Perugia(home) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ravenna(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Vado(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Latina(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Campobasso FC(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Pianese(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Gubbio wins, 3 draws, 3 Sambenedettese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Sambenedettese 0-0 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Gubbio 1-1 Sambenedettese | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Gubbio 1-1 Sambenedettese | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 30, 2021 | Gubbio 1-2 Sambenedettese | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Sambenedettese 2-1 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
| Dec 9, 2019 | Sambenedettese 2-0 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Sambenedettese vs Gubbio on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gubbio score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sambenedettese score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gubbio | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Sambenedettese | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gubbio sit 19th in Serie C - Girone B (7 points from 10 matches) and Sambenedettese sit 18th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Sambenedettese | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 7 |
| 19 | Gubbio | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 7 |
A question about Gubbio vs Sambenedettese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gubbio vs Sambenedettese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gubbio the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Sambenedettese.
- Where and when is Gubbio vs Sambenedettese played?
- Gubbio vs Sambenedettese is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.