Vitoria Setubal vs Imortal Albufeira: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DGroup D - 25Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Bonfim, Setúbal
The Footlab AI model makes Vitoria Setubal the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Imortal Albufeira. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vitoria Setubal wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,524 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vitoria Setubal vs Imortal Albufeira?
Vitoria Setubal starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,921 vs 1,732).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vitoria Setubal vs Imortal Albufeira
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vitoria Setubal
4-3-3- 10João Delgado
- 11C. Djalo
- 19Chima
- 37Ussumane Djaló
- 17G. Teixeira
- 13Cuca
- 77Fábio Pala
- 22Henrique Ribeiro Pires
- 20M. T. Gbadamosi
- 28A. Gomes
- 1Gonçalo Filipe
Imortal Albufeira
4-3-3- JJorzinho Miranda
- JJoão António Moita Romeiro
- DDiogo Filipe Pina Alves
- NN. Opara
- NNuno Jeronimo Pereira Augusto Neves
- LLeandro Ari
- PPedro Rodrigues
- MMiguel João Freitas Gonçalves
- WWilliams Fadini
- FFabinho
- LLucas Teixeira
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 08:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitoria Setubal have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Imortal Albufeira have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Lagoa(home) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | 1º Dezembro(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | UD da Serra(home) | 1-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alcains(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Juventude Évora(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Aljustrelense(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Portel(home) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tondela(home) | 1-5 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Alcochetense(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Vitoria Setubal wins, 0 draws, 0 Imortal Albufeira wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2024 | Imortal Albufeira 0-3 Vitoria Setubal | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Vitoria Setubal 2-1 Imortal Albufeira | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
Last archived meeting: Imortal Albufeira vs Vitoria Setubal on Feb 4, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Vitoria Setubal score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Imortal Albufeira score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria Setubal | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Imortal Albufeira | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitoria Setubal sit 1st in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D (53 points from 26 matches) and Imortal Albufeira sit 14th (13 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Setubal | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 53 |
| 14 | Imortal Albufeira | 26 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 19 | 46 | 13 |
A question about Vitoria Setubal vs Imortal Albufeira?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vitoria Setubal vs Imortal Albufeira?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vitoria Setubal the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Imortal Albufeira.
- Where and when is Vitoria Setubal vs Imortal Albufeira played?
- Vitoria Setubal vs Imortal Albufeira is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Bonfim, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.