Amora vs FC Serpa: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DGroup D - 25Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio da Medideira, Amora
The Footlab model makes Amora the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for FC Serpa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amora vs FC Serpa?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Amora (1,838) and FC Serpa (1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amora have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; FC Serpa have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vitoria Setubal(away) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| May 1, 2026 | SC Covilha(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | 1º Dezembro(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Caldas(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 4-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Oriental Lisboa(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | FC Alverca II(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Apr 4, 2026 | O Elvas(away) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Juventude Évora(home) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Amora win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 FC Serpa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2025 | Amora 2-1 FC Serpa | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 18, 2024 | FC Serpa 2-4 Amora | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
Amora score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; FC Serpa score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amora | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Serpa | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amora sit 2nd in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D (57 points from 26 matches) and FC Serpa sit 6th (45 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Amora | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 19 | 57 |
| 6 | FC Serpa | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 42 | 27 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amora vs FC Serpa?
- The Footlab model makes Amora the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for FC Serpa.
- Where and when is Amora vs FC Serpa played?
- Amora vs FC Serpa is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio da Medideira, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.