Vitoria vs Santa Cruz: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 19Kick-off on August 14, 2015 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador, Bahia
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What was the result of Vitoria vs Santa Cruz?
Vitoria won 2-1 on August 14, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 5′D. EscuderoVitoria (pen.)
- 8′EltonVitoria
- 56′LuisinhoSanta Cruz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitoria have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Santa Cruz have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2015 | Luverdense(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 8, 2015 | Ceara(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 1, 2015 | America Mineiro(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 28, 2015 | Macaé(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 25, 2015 | Nautico Recife(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2015 | Mogi Mirim(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 8, 2015 | Botafogo(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 1, 2015 | Oeste(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 28, 2015 | Bahia(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 25, 2015 | Criciuma(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitoria score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Cruz score 1.4 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Santa Cruz | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy