Vitoria vs RB Bragantino: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 35Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador, Bahia
The Footlab model makes Vitoria the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for RB Bragantino. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vitoria vs RB Bragantino?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Vitoria (1,948) and RB Bragantino (1,954).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitoria have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; RB Bragantino have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bahia(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Flamengo(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 4-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 0-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gremio(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Atletico-MG(away) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vitoria win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 RB Bragantino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | RB Bragantino 2-0 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Dec 3, 2025 | RB Bragantino 4-0 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Vitoria 1-0 RB Bragantino | Serie A |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Vitoria 1-0 RB Bragantino | Serie A |
| Jun 23, 2024 | RB Bragantino 2-1 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2019 | RB Bragantino 2-0 Vitoria | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: RB Bragantino vs Vitoria on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vitoria score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; RB Bragantino score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| RB Bragantino | 1.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitoria sit 12th in Serie A (29 points from 24 matches) and RB Bragantino sit 7th (35 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 35 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vitoria vs RB Bragantino?
- The Footlab model makes Vitoria the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for RB Bragantino.
- Where and when is Vitoria vs RB Bragantino played?
- Vitoria vs RB Bragantino is played on November 18, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Manoel Barradas, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.