Vrchovina vs Havířov: prediction and stats
3. liga - MSFLMSFL - 13Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Nové Město na Moravě, Nové Město na Moravě
The Footlab model makes Vrchovina the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Havířov. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vrchovina vs Havířov?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Vrchovina (1,771) and Havířov (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vrchovina have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Havířov have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vítkovice(away) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zlín II(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Líšeň II(away) | 0-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Blansko(home) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sparta Brno(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hranice(away) | 0-6 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Karviná II(home) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Belotin(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vítkovice(away) | 1-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zlín II(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
How many goals should we expect?
Vrchovina score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Havířov score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vrchovina | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Havířov | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vrchovina sit 9th in 3. liga - MSFL (7 points from 4 matches) and Havířov sit 16th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Vrchovina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 16 | Havířov | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vrchovina vs Havířov?
- The Footlab model makes Vrchovina the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Havířov.
- Where and when is Vrchovina vs Havířov played?
- Vrchovina vs Havířov is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Nové Město na Moravě, in the 3. liga - MSFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.