Karviná II vs Hranice: prediction and stats
3. liga - MSFLMSFL - 13Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Kovona, Karviná
The Footlab model makes Karviná II the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Hranice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karviná II vs Hranice?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Karviná II (1,690) and Hranice (1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karviná II have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Hranice have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Polanka nad Odrou(home) | 2-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Havířov(away) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Uherský Brod(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Uničov(away) | 2-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tatran Krásno(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Havířov(home) | 6-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Uherský Brod(away) | 0-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Uničov(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Frýdek-Místek(away) | 0-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Zabreh(away) | 2-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Karviná II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Hranice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Hranice 0-0 Karviná II | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Karviná II 1-1 Hranice | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Karviná II 3-0 Hranice | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Nov 7, 2023 | Hranice 1-4 Karviná II | 3. liga - MSFL |
Last archived meeting: Hranice vs Karviná II on May 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karviná II score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hranice score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karviná II | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Hranice | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karviná II sit 6th in 3. liga - MSFL (7 points from 4 matches) and Hranice sit 12th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Karviná II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Hranice | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karviná II vs Hranice?
- The Footlab model makes Karviná II the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Hranice.
- Where and when is Karviná II vs Hranice played?
- Karviná II vs Hranice is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kovona, in the 3. liga - MSFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.