Where and when is Vreden vs ASC Dortmund played?

Vreden vs ASC Dortmund is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:15 PM (UTC) at Hamalandstadion, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Vreden vs ASC Dortmund: prediction and stats

Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 19Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Hamalandstadion, Vreden

Vreden

ASC Dortmund

The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Vreden. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vreden vs ASC Dortmund?

ASC Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 205-point Elo edge (1,863 vs 1,658).

Vreden win29 %

Draw22 %

ASC Dortmund win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vreden have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; ASC Dortmund have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vreden
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Maaslingen(away)	2-5	Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026	ASC Dortmund(home)	5-2	Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026	Hiltrup(home)	2-0	Oberliga - Westfalen
May 31, 2026	Erkenschwick(home)	3-0	Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026	ASC Dortmund(away)	0-1	Oberliga - Westfalen

ASC Dortmund
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	SpVgg Herne Horsthausen(away)	4-1	Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026	Vreden(away)	2-5	Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026	Maaslingen(away)	1-3	Oberliga - Westfalen
May 31, 2026	Ennepetal(away)	1-1	Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026	Vreden(home)	1-0	Oberliga - Westfalen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Vreden win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 ASC Dortmund win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Vreden 5-2 ASC Dortmund	Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026	ASC Dortmund 1-0 Vreden	Oberliga - Westfalen
Dec 7, 2025	Vreden 4-5 ASC Dortmund	Oberliga - Westfalen
Mar 30, 2025	ASC Dortmund 1-1 Vreden	Oberliga - Westfalen
Oct 6, 2024	Vreden 0-3 ASC Dortmund	Oberliga - Westfalen
May 26, 2024	ASC Dortmund 2-0 Vreden	Oberliga - Westfalen

Last archived meeting: Vreden vs ASC Dortmund on Aug 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Vreden score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; ASC Dortmund score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Vreden	1.6	2.1	4	8/15	9/15
ASC Dortmund	1.8	1.5	4	11/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Vreden sit 4th in Oberliga - Westfalen (6 points from 2 matches) and ASC Dortmund sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Vreden	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
16	ASC Dortmund	2	0	0	2	3	8	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vreden vs ASC Dortmund?: The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Vreden.
Where and when is Vreden vs ASC Dortmund played?: Vreden vs ASC Dortmund is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:15 PM (UTC) at Hamalandstadion, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.