Vreden vs Erkenschwick: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 12Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hamalandstadion, Vreden
The Footlab AI model makes Vreden the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Erkenschwick. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vreden wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vreden vs Erkenschwick?
On Elo ratings, Vreden has 1,727 points and Erkenschwick 1,682.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vreden vs Erkenschwick
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vreden
Not enough data to predict the Vreden lineup.
Erkenschwick
Not enough data to predict the Erkenschwick lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vreden have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Erkenschwick have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ennepetal(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 4, 2026 | TuS Hordel(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lippstadt 08(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Schermbeck(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Eintracht Rheine(home) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hiltrup(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Verl II(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arminia II(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Victoria Clarholz(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Preußen Münster II(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vreden wins, 0 draws, 4 Erkenschwick wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Vreden 3-0 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Erkenschwick 2-0 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2025 | Erkenschwick 3-0 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Vreden 2-1 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Vreden 1-2 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Erkenschwick 3-1 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Vreden vs Erkenschwick on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vreden score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Erkenschwick score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vreden | 2.1 | 1.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Erkenschwick | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vreden sit 2nd in Oberliga - Westfalen (19 points from 9 matches) and Erkenschwick sit 4th (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Vreden | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 19 | 19 |
| 4 | Erkenschwick | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 18 |
A question about Vreden vs Erkenschwick?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vreden vs Erkenschwick?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vreden the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Erkenschwick.
- Where and when is Vreden vs Erkenschwick played?
- Vreden vs Erkenschwick is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hamalandstadion, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026SpVgg Herne HorsthausenvsGievenbeck
- Oct 25, 2026SprockhovelvsEnnepetal
- Oct 25, 2026Eintracht RheinevsTuS Hordel
- Oct 25, 2026HiltrupvsPreußen Münster II
- Oct 25, 2026SchermbeckvsLippstadt 08
- Oct 25, 2026ASC DortmundvsWestfalia Kinderhaus
- Oct 25, 2026Arminia IIvsMaaslingen
- Oct 25, 2026Verl IIvsVictoria Clarholz