Vreden vs Erkenschwick: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 12Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hamalandstadion, Vreden
The Footlab model makes Vreden the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Erkenschwick. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vreden vs Erkenschwick?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Vreden (1,672) and Erkenschwick (1,651).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vreden have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Erkenschwick have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maaslingen(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(home) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hiltrup(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Erkenschwick(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gievenbeck(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ennepetal(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | TuS Hordel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vreden win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Erkenschwick win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Vreden 3-0 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Erkenschwick 2-0 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2025 | Erkenschwick 3-0 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Vreden 2-1 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Vreden 1-2 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Erkenschwick 3-1 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Vreden vs Erkenschwick on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vreden score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Erkenschwick score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vreden | 1.6 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Erkenschwick | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vreden sit 4th in Oberliga - Westfalen (6 points from 2 matches) and Erkenschwick sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Erkenschwick | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Vreden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vreden vs Erkenschwick?
- The Footlab model makes Vreden the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Erkenschwick.
- Where and when is Vreden vs Erkenschwick played?
- Vreden vs Erkenschwick is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hamalandstadion, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026SpVgg Herne HorsthausenvsGievenbeck
- Oct 25, 2026SprockhovelvsEnnepetal
- Oct 25, 2026Eintracht RheinevsTuS Hordel
- Oct 25, 2026HiltrupvsPreußen Münster II
- Oct 25, 2026SchermbeckvsLippstadt 08
- Oct 25, 2026ASC DortmundvsWestfalia Kinderhaus
- Oct 25, 2026Arminia IIvsMaaslingen
- Oct 25, 2026Verl IIvsVictoria Clarholz