Where and when is Vreden vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen played?

Vreden vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Hamalandstadion, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Vreden vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen: prediction and stats

Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Hamalandstadion, Vreden

Vreden

SpVgg Herne Horsthausen

The Footlab model makes SpVgg Herne Horsthausen the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Vreden. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vreden vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Vreden (1,664) and SpVgg Herne Horsthausen (1,753).

Vreden win33 %

Draw24 %

SpVgg Herne Horsthausen win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vreden have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; SpVgg Herne Horsthausen have 1, 0 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vreden
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	ASC Dortmund(home)	5-2	Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026	Hiltrup(home)	2-0	Oberliga - Westfalen
May 31, 2026	Erkenschwick(home)	3-0	Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026	ASC Dortmund(away)	0-1	Oberliga - Westfalen
May 17, 2026	Schermbeck(home)	0-2	Oberliga - Westfalen

SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Hiltrup(away)	3-0	Oberliga - Westfalen

How many goals should we expect?

Vreden score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Herne Horsthausen score 3.0 and concede 0.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Vreden	1.5	1.9	4	8/15	9/15
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen	3.0	0.0	1	0/1	1/1

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Vreden sit 1st in Oberliga - Westfalen (6 points from 2 matches) and SpVgg Herne Horsthausen sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vreden	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
9	SpVgg Herne Horsthausen	2	1	0	1	4	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vreden vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen?: The Footlab model makes SpVgg Herne Horsthausen the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Vreden.
Where and when is Vreden vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen played?: Vreden vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Hamalandstadion, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.